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The June 2026 PPI report is scheduled for
release today, Wednesday, July 15, at 8:30 a.m. ET — but the actual figures
haven't shown up in my search results yet, so it may not have posted at the
time of this search (or hasn't fully propagated to news outlets). |
Here's what I can tell you:
Most recent confirmed data — May
2026 PPI (released June 11):
Final
demand PPI rose 1.1% month-over-month
- Final demand goods rose 2.8%
- Final demand services rose 0.3%
- Year-over-year, final demand prices were up 6.5% — the
largest 12-month increase since November 2022
What's expected for June 2026
(today's release):
Economists
polled by Dow Jones expect headline PPI
to decline 0.2% month-over-month, reflecting the sharp pullback in energy/oil
prices during June (crude fell about 25% that month).
- This mirrors yesterday's CPI report, where headline
inflation also came in cooler than expected — CPI fell 0.4%
month-over-month in June, well below the -0.1% consensus.
Since
the actual June PPI print isn't confirmed in current sources yet, let me check
once more for the live figure.The June 2026 PPI figure hasn't been published in
any source I can find yet — it's scheduled for 8:30 a.m. ET today Wednesday,
July 15), and the reports I'm pulling are all previews written ahead of the
release, not the actual print.
Here's the setup heading into
today's release:
Consensus forecast: Economists polled by Dow Jones expect headline PPI to decline
0.2% month-over-month in June, mainly because oil prices tumbled roughly 25%
during the month.
Year-over-year: Wall Street expects wholesale inflation to cool modestly
but remain elevated around 6.4% year-over-year.
Most recent confirmed print — May
2026 PPI (month-over-month):
- Final demand PPI: +1.1% (matched April's downwardly revised 1.1% gain, well
above the 0.7% forecast)
- Goods: +2.8%,
driven mostly by a 23.4% jump in gasoline prices
- Services: +0.3%
- Core PPI (ex food/energy/trade): +0.4% month-over-month
- Year-over-year: +6.5%,
the largest 12-month increase since November 2022
This June PPI reading matters a lot
today — it lands right after Tuesday's cooler-than-expected CPI report, so a
soft PPI print would reinforce the "inflation is cooling" narrative
and could support further stock gains, while a hot print (echoing May's
tariff-and-energy-driven surge) would complicate the picture for the Fed.
Since the number should be out by
now, let me pull the live figure directly.The June figure isn't out yet in my
sources — the calendar shows the June PPI release scheduled for today at 12:30
PM GMT (8:30 a.m. ET), but the "Actual" column is still blank,
meaning it hasn't posted at the time of this search (or hasn't propagated to
this page yet).
Here's where the data stands right
now:
|
Month |
PPI
MoM (Actual) |
Consensus |
|
April 2026 |
1.4% |
0.5% (forecast) |
|
May 2026 |
1.1% |
0.7% (forecast) |
|
June 2026 |
Not yet released |
0.5% (TE forecast) |
Most recent confirmed
reading — May 2026:
- PPI (final demand) MoM: +1.1%
— matched April's downwardly revised 1.1% and beat the 0.7% forecast
- PPI YoY: +6.5% — the largest 12-month
increase since November 2022, above the 6.4% forecast
- Core PPI (ex food/energy) MoM: +0.4%
- Core PPI YoY: +4.9% — slightly below the 5.4%
forecast
For today's June
release, expectations vary somewhat by source:
- Trading
Economics models a relatively soft +0.5%
month-over-month
- Dow
Jones-polled economists expect a decline
of 0.2%, largely because oil/crude prices fell roughly 25% in June
- Edward
Jones notes expectations for the year-over-year rate to cool modestly but
stay elevated around 6.4%
|
Calendar |
GMT |
Reference |
Actual |
Previous |
Consensus |
TEForecast |
||||
|
2026-05-13 |
12:30 PM |
Apr |
1.4% |
0.7% |
0.5% |
0.4% |
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|
2026-06-11 |
12:30 PM |
May |
1.1% |
1.1% |
0.7% |
0.7% |
||||
|
2026-07-15 |
12:30 PM |
Jun |
1.1% |
0% |
0.1% |
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