The U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report for June 2026 is scheduled to be released today, Thursday, July 2, at 8:30 a.m. ET (6:00 p.m. IST) because of the U.S. Independence Day holiday. (Bureau of Labor Statistics)
Market expectations (consensus):
Non-Farm Payrolls: +110K jobs (previous: +172K)
Unemployment Rate: 4.3% (expected unchanged)
Average Hourly Earnings: +0.3% month-over-month, 3.5% year-over-year expected. (Reuters)
Why today's NFP matters
Above 110K (strong report):
USD: 📈 Bullish
Gold (XAU/USD): 📉 Bearish
US30 (Dow Jones): Initial volatility; may fall if traders expect higher interest rates.
Below 110K (weak report):
USD: 📉 Bearish
Gold: 📈 Bullish
US30: Often rises if markets expect the Federal Reserve to be more dovish. (Investing.com India)
Given yesterday's weaker-than-expected ADP private payrolls report (+98K), markets are expecting high volatility when the official NFP figures are released. (Reuters)
If you trade US30, Gold (XAU/USD), or Forex, I can also provide:
key support and resistance levels,
a post-NFP trading plan,
and likely market scenarios based on whether the NFP beats or misses expectations.
The June jobs report is actually scheduled for release today (Thursday, July 2, 2026) at 8:30 a.m. ET — the report was moved up a day because of the July 4th holiday. Let me check if it's out yet.The June jobs report hasn't been published yet — it's scheduled for release today, Thursday July 2, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. ET, one day earlier than usual because of the July 4th holiday. Given the time difference with India, that release window may not have hit yet (or the page just hasn't updated in my fetch). I'd recommend checking back at bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm in a bit, or I'm happy to search again for you now if you'd like.
Here's what we know heading into today's release:
Latest confirmed data (May 2026, released June 5):
Nonfarm payrolls: +172,000 jobs, beating forecasts of 85,000
Unemployment rate: unchanged at 4.3%
Job gains concentrated in leisure/hospitality (+70K, mostly food service), local government (+55K), and health care (+35K)
Financial activities lost jobs (-22K)
Average hourly earnings rose 0.3% to $37.53, up 3.4% year-over-year
March and April were revised up a combined 93,000 jobs
What markets expect for June:
This report is being closely watched as a factor for the Fed's July 29 rate decision
ADP's private payrolls report for June (released separately, and not a reliable predictor of the official BLS number) showed job creation was "uneven," with financial activities and information sectors gaining while leisure/hospitality stayed weak for a sixth straight month
Want me to check again for the actual June figures now?
US Nonfarm Payrolls – Today, Thursday July 2, 2026
June 2026 NFP Release
The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the June Employment Situation report today at 8:30 AM ET.
Consensus forecast vs Previous:
Nonfarm Payrolls (Total): Consensus 110K, Previous 172K for May
Private Nonfarm Payrolls: Consensus 110K, Previous 120K for May
Actual number: As of now, the June figure hasn’t been published yet in the data feeds. The release time is 8:30 AM ET / 6:00 PM IST. Check BLS.gov or financial news after that for the official print.
Recent trend
May 2026: +172K total, +120K private
April 2026: +115K total, +123K private
March 2026: +178K total, +186K private
March and April were revised up by a combined 93K jobs. May showed average hourly earnings up 0.2% to $32.31, with the workweek unchanged at 34.3 hours.
Key details to watch at 8:30 AM ET
Headline NFP: Economists expect 110K. A print above 150K would be considered strong; below 80K would raise recession concerns.
Unemployment rate: Last at 4.3% in April
Average hourly earnings: For wage inflation signals. Was +0.2% MoM in May
Revisions: Prior 2 months get updated
Market context this morning
Futures ahead of the release: Dow +0.12%, Nasdaq -0.66%, S&P 500 -0.22%. Asian markets mixed with Nikkei -1.43%, KOSPI -4.34%, Hang Seng +1.15%.
Want me to pull the actual number for you once it’s released at 8:30 AM ET?
The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) scheduled the release of the June 2026 Employment Situation report for today, Thursday, July 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM Eastern Time.
(Note: The release was moved up one day from its traditional first Friday slot due to the July 4th Independence Day weekend holiday).
Because it is currently right around the release window, here is a breakdown of what Wall Street is looking for compared to last month's figures:
Key Forecast Expectations vs. Previous Month
Metric | June Consensus Forecast | Previous Month (May Actual) |
Nonfarm Payrolls | ~100K to 114K added | +172,000 jobs |
Unemployment Rate | 4.3% | 4.3% |
Avg. Hourly Earnings (MoM) | +0.3% | +0.3% ($37.53) |
Avg. Hourly Earnings (YoY) | +3.5% | +3.4% |
The Market Context
A Deliberate Slowdown: Economists are anticipating a downshift in hiring compared to May's hotter-than-expected print (+172K). A number coming in around the 113K mark points to a "low-hire, low-fire" cooling trend that aligns with what the Federal Reserve wants to see.
The Fed's Next Move: If the actual payrolls hit near or below the 114K forecast, it may provide the economic justification the Fed needs to consider a interest rate cut later this year. If the numbers drastically beat expectations again, it will likely lock in a "higher-for-longer" rate policy.
Leading Indicators: The ADP Private Payrolls report released earlier this week showed private sector additions of 98,000, hinting at a synchronized cooling in private hiring.
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